Booking a cab for Kaczyński
According to a PGB poll published last week, 23 percent of those surveyed are willing to vote for Kaczyński, representing a one-percent increase on his support in May. While a CBOS survey shows backing for Kaczyński, one of the major figures in the right-wing Law and Justice (PiS) party, has risen to 25 percent of the population - up three points on its May survey.
While Kaczyński's lead is unthreatened, the race for second place and the right to battle for the presidency in the second round, is very close and will probably remain so for the duration of campaigning. Interestingly the different polls show different support for the candidates. According to CBOS, heart surgeon and independent candidate Zbigniew Religa is looking safe in second position with 19 percent support, well ahead of moderate leftist Marek Borowski, Self Defense's Andrzej Lepper and Civic Platform's Donald Tusk, who can count on 14, 12 and 11 percent of the votes respectively. However, the PGB survey varies significantly, showing that Tusk and Lepper both enjoy 15 percent support, three more than Borowski, while Religa would only receive 10 percent of votes.
Nevertheless, PGB's simulation of the second round indicates Kaczyński can book his cab for the presidential palace now. In potential match ups with Lepper or Tusk, the Warsaw mayor would come out a winner with 65 to 35 percent and 53 to 47 percent, respectively.
While Kaczyński's lead is unthreatened, the race for second place and the right to battle for the presidency in the second round, is very close and will probably remain so for the duration of campaigning. Interestingly the different polls show different support for the candidates. According to CBOS, heart surgeon and independent candidate Zbigniew Religa is looking safe in second position with 19 percent support, well ahead of moderate leftist Marek Borowski, Self Defense's Andrzej Lepper and Civic Platform's Donald Tusk, who can count on 14, 12 and 11 percent of the votes respectively. However, the PGB survey varies significantly, showing that Tusk and Lepper both enjoy 15 percent support, three more than Borowski, while Religa would only receive 10 percent of votes.
Nevertheless, PGB's simulation of the second round indicates Kaczyński can book his cab for the presidential palace now. In potential match ups with Lepper or Tusk, the Warsaw mayor would come out a winner with 65 to 35 percent and 53 to 47 percent, respectively.
