Number of Polish residents will decline to 32.9 mln in 2060

According to the Central Statistical Office (GUS), the population residing in Poland in 2060 is projected to be 32.9 million, reflecting a decrease of 4.8 million (12.7%) compared to 2022. Negative natural growth and adverse changes in age structure contribute to this decline. Individuals aged 65 and above will constitute around 30% of the population, increasing by 2.5 million from 2022.

However, women of reproductive age are expected to make up only 71% of the 2022 figure. GUS predicts a significant decrease in the working-age population (18–59/64), estimating a 23% decline (5.1 million individuals) by 2060. Births are initially forecast to decrease, followed by a slight increase and a final decline to 248,700 in 2060. These trends are mainly attributed to the decreasing number of potential mothers, requiring higher fertility rates to maintain birth levels.

Source: obserwatorfinansowy.pl