The central bank provides forecasts of inflation and GDP in Poland
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The central forecast for the average annual inflation, in a survey conducted by the National Bank of Poland (NBP) among 25 experts in December-January 2021/2022, amounts to 5.1 percent for 2021, 7.4 percent in 2022, and 4.4 percent for 2023.
Based on the entire distribution of forecasts, in 2022 inflation should be expected in the range between 6.1-8.4 percent.
In turn, the central forecast for GDP dynamics assumes growth at the level of 5.4 percent in 2021, followed by an increase of 4.3 percent in 2022, and by 4 percent in 2023 – according to the NBP report.
According to the forecasts of experts, the zloty exchange rate against the euro will be around 4.53 in 2022 and around 4.44 in 2023.
Experts also expect a slight drop in the price of a barrel of oil (Brent) to $74 in 2022 and $71 in 2023.
