Financial crises strike in Brazil, Bolivia, Paraguay, Uruguay and... Poland?
The recent financial crisis in Uruguay and the forecasts of similar
situations in Paraguay, the difficulties of Brazil, and also the protests in
Bolivia and Peru are expected to have economic repercussions for so-called
emerging markets. Economists claim that Poland has so-far been partially
resistant to infection from global crises. Investors evaluate the risk of
investing their money in Poland as being lower as they are certain it will
become a member of the European Union in 2004. However, they emphasize that
the situation in Brazil is a crucial factor for Poland as the possible
financial slump there might also affect the Polish economy. Financial crisis
in Brazil could cause a withdrawal of some investors from the Polish market
in the short term. Historically, Poland has been vulnerable to crises such
as those in Asia and Russia, however now it belongs to different investment
portfolios. An increasing number of investors are not from emerging market
funds, but those who expect profits in the longer term, like German funds
accumulating savings of individuals, or American pension funds and insurance
companies. Poland is increasingly perceived no longer as an emerging market
economy but as a maturing market, getting closer to the western economies.
(Rzeczpospolita, p. B1) P.W.