Monetary Policy Council (RPP) announcing its interest rate decision today
Today the Monetary Policy Council (RPP) will decide whether to cut interest
rates or to hold off for another month. The move to cut interest rates would
be most welcome by investors complaining that under circumstances when
year-on-year inflation has reached 6%, the lowest level predicted by the
RPP, the rates remain punishingly high. According to the Treasury Ministry,
the consumer price index will continue to fall for the next two months and
therefore the price of credits should also be lowered. This would result in
the revival of the market and help to extend payrolls. "I think the RPP will
not cut interest rates today, due to the high budget deficit, loose fiscal
policy, lower privatization revenues, and the [forthcoming German]
compensation pay-outs. The cut will come in April and will be 1.5%-2.0%",
said Przemyslaw Magda from Amerbank. The Warsaw Stock Exchange did not show
any signs of anxiety prior to the RPP meeting, with activity rather flat,
seeming to react more to foreign markets. (Gazeta Wyborcza, p.22) J.K.