Poor GDP growth in late 2000 due to high interest rates and weak demand
GDP grew by 2.5% in the fourth quarter of last year, according to a
government communiqué yesterday. The rate for the year as a whole reached
4.2%, barely exceeding the 1999 level, resulting mainly from high interest
rates and weakening domestic demand. Low GDP growth affected budget
revenues, which were lower than expected by zl.137 million. However, since
budget expenses were limited as well, the deficit did not exceed the
predicted zl.15.4 billion, constituting 2.2% of GDP. Concern was voiced
about the 15% unemployment rate. Among the good news was declining
inflation and a recovery of foreign trade. The Main Statistical Office
(GUS) reported that exports last year exceeded those in 1999 by nearly
15.5%, decreasing the current account deficit from 7.5% to 7%. 'Thanks to
high currency reserves of $26.5 billion, exceeding 7 months of import
expenses, [...] such C/A deficit does not threaten the state's financial
stability,' the statement emphasized. (Gazeta Wyborcza, p.22) M.K.