RPP likely to lower interest rates, but will retail banks follow suit?
Today the Monetary Policy Council (RPP) is likely to lower interest rates by
50 base points for the third time in a row, and for the third time the
reaction of the high street banks will probably be only to lower the
interest rates on deposits, not on loans. Politicians blame the RPP for
keeping interest rates high, which they argue, have impeded economic growth,
increased unemployment and overvalued the zloty and so making exports
uncompetitive. Yet the government, which diverts capital from the market to
reduce its nearly zl. 40 billion budget deficit, is also responsible for the
economic slump. Having the state as their debtor, the banks are less
interested in giving loans to individual clients or companies. The situation
on the deposit and credit market is likely to become more stable once Poland
enters the European Union. Then, it is believed, that once new institutions
arrive together with new possibilities of taking loans or opening saving
accounts abroad, domestic financial institutions will be forced to become
more competitive. (Puls Biznesu, p. 18) K.S.