As many as 9,000 Covid-19 infections and maximum of 500 cases per day: forecast
16:00
The maximum number of coronavirus infections in Poland will not exceed 9,000 and will be reached around April 20, then it should fall. Within a day, the maximum of new cases may be about 500, predicts the company ExMetrix, thus maintaining its previous forecast.
Zbigniew Łukoś, the head analyst of ExMetrix, emphasized that the verifiability of current daily forecasts reaches 92.3 percent. The data provided shows that, for example, on March 26, it was expected that there would be 1,324 cases, and in fact, there were 1,221 (a difference of only 5.08 percent). 2089 infections were forecasted on March 30, while 1862 were reported (7.69 percent difference).
"In the coming days, we will have record increases in reported cases of infection, even up to about 500 infected, reported daily, as our models indicate. Obviously it is a much smaller number than in Spain or Italy, but requires the further discipline of the nation. It should be remembered that the model shows a forecast that is not immune to the sudden loosening of the so-called social distancing discipline,” Łukoś stressed.
(PAP)
