Londoners calculate underestimation of official epidemic figures

According to the School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, officially confirmed cases of coronavirus infection in Poland are only 24 percent of all infections in our country. This is still a better indicator than in most of the countries surveyed.

A group of scientists from the Center for Mathematical Modeling of Infectious Diseases at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine developed a method by which it was calculated how many Covid-19 cases could actually be in a given country in relation to publicly disclosed data.

In the case of Poland, scientists claimed that the number of registered cases of SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus infection is in the range of 13 to 48 percent of all actual cases in the population.
According to the proposed model, the best estimate of this value is 24 percent.

According to the best estimation of scientists, in the case of Germany, the number of official cases is 66 percent of all cases, in the case of South Korea 77 percent, and Norway – 100 percent.

In turn, in Spain official statistics can only concern 4.7 percent of all cases.

(300gospodarka)