There is no tri-polar world. There is a world clearly moving towards a bipolar one – i.e. the West on one side, China on the other. Russia, on the other hand, is acting a bit like a rogue state. Partly like a failed state. And in particular, a state that is in danger of both total economic vassalization.
“Russia is Brazil with 6,000 nuclear warheads and taking risks. This will probably end badly for Russia and the Russian bear will be devoured by the Chinese dragon. Russia will become a Chinese economic and political vassal," Professor Witold Orlowski, economist, Rector of the VISTULA Academy of Finance and Business, assessed.
Russia may walk away from supplying the West with raw materials – energy, for example. And once the West abandons Russian raw materials, it will never return to them. In 20 or 25 years, hydrogen technologies will be used, not burning oil and gas.
“China, on the other hand, will of course take fuel from Russia as interim – but it will be the only customer. So soon the Russians will see that China is dictating the terms. So in the long run the biggest loser of the war will be Russia. If nothing changes, this country will be on its way to becoming an insignificant satellite of China within 15-20 years,” Orłowski said.