Developers expect stabilization in real estate market in ‘26
Poland’s housing market is expected to remain stable in 2026, with a clear shift toward moderate recovery, according to developers. Lower interest rates and improving mortgage availability have already revived demand in 2025, a trend likely to strengthen from mid-2026. Sales volumes are projected to rise, while apartment prices should increase gradually, initially by around 5% and potentially up to 10–15% y/y by the end of 2026 as supply tightens. Developers point to a still-large but shrinking housing stock, fewer new projects, and rising land and construction costs as key factors.
Demand will be further supported by strong employment, wage growth, and improving household finances. Uncertainty remains around spatial planning reforms and the potential introduction of a cadastral tax, which could affect future supply and investor behavior.