Moody’s forecasts a 3.5% GDP growth for Poland in 2025, the highest among Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries, where growth rates will vary between 1.5% (Slovakia) and 3.5% (Poland). Poland’s economy, the largest and most diversified in the region, will benefit from increased defense spending (nearly 5% of GDP) and EU recovery funds (KPO).
Moody’s highlights that the outcome of Poland's presidential election will be critical for effective governance and justice reforms. Among major rating agencies, Moody’s gives Poland the highest credit rating (A2), compared to Fitch and S&P’s A-. All ratings have stable outlooks. Moody’s plans its first review of Poland’s rating in 2025 on March 21.