To ensure stable demographic development in Poland, there should be at least 210-215 births per 100 women aged 15-49. Currently, this figure stands at approximately 116. In 2023, Poland saw a record low of 272,000 births, a decrease of about 33,000 from the previous year. This decline poses serious long-term economic implications, including a shrinking workforce that leads to lower GDP and rising healthcare and pension costs.
The trend of fewer marriages, with only around 146,000 in 2023, exacerbates the issue, as marriage is linked to higher birth rates. The average age of first marriage has also increased, reflecting a delay in starting families. Overall, Poland faces significant demographic challenges.