0:19 5 March 2026
Poland risk rating rises
Coface has upgraded Poland’s country risk assessment from A4 to A3, placing it among the best-rated economies in Central and Eastern Europe and on par with Germany, its key trading partner. The upgrade reflects strong macroeconomic fundamentals and a relatively stable corporate sector.
According to Coface’s latest Risk Review—which evaluates business risk across around 160 economies—Poland’s GDP is expected to grow by 3.6% in 2025, making it one of the fastest-growing large economies in the European Union. The country was one of only seven globally to receive an upgrade, alongside Sweden, Cyprus, Chile, Ecuador, Senegal and Barbados.
Dr. Mateusz Dadej, Coface’s chief economist for Poland and the CEE region, said the decision highlights Poland’s resilience despite weaker conditions in Western Europe.
Coface forecasts GDP growth could accelerate to about 3.8% in 2026, driven by EU funding, public investment and stable household consumption. While corporate performance has sometimes lagged macroeconomic indicators, easing wage pressure should gradually improve profitability.
