Poland's Path Forward: Embracing Openness to Sustain European Leadership

Poland has emerged as a formidable force in Europe, boasting a military larger than that of Britain, France, or Germany, and living standards poised to surpass Japan's when adjusted for purchasing power. However, as highlighted by The Economist, the nation's continued ascent hinges on its commitment to openness and integration within the European framework.
The upcoming presidential election presents a pivotal moment. Liberal candidate Rafał Trzaskowski, who secured 31.4 percent in the first round, faces nationalist contender Karol Nawrocki, who garnered 29.5 percent. The outcome will significantly influence Poland's domestic and foreign policies. A turn towards nationalism could jeopardize the nation's hard-earned economic and geopolitical stature.
Economically, Poland is thriving. The WIG index has surged by 28.6 percent year-to-date, outpacing global markets, driven by robust GDP growth of 3.8 percent in the first quarter of 2025 and substantial foreign investments. This success is attributed to Poland's relative insulation from global trade tensions and investor optimism bolstered by Germany's fiscal stimulus.
To maintain its trajectory, Poland must continue embracing democratic principles, uphold the rule of law, and foster strong ties with the European Union. Retreating into nationalism risks undermining the very foundations of its recent successes.