21:57 21 April 2025
The world is shaking economically, Poland is not
The first 100 days of the year brought dramatic global shifts, yet economic forecasts for Poland remain surprisingly stable—reflecting confusion or cautious optimism. Despite a major global trade conflict, particularly involving Donald Trump's tariffs, which are expected to slow global and EU growth, Polish GDP forecasts for 2024–2025 have barely moved, hovering around 3.4%.
This disconnect might stem from expectations that tariffs won’t last, or that European governments will offset export losses with public spending. However, uncertainty dominates. Analysts await clearer signals before revising predictions. Some sectors may suffer from reduced exports, while others benefit from lower interest rates and fiscal support. Overall, Poland’s growth may lean closer to 3% than 4%, amid inflationary and deflationary tensions.
(pb.pl)
