EC lowers GDP growth forecast for Poland in ‘25 and ‘26

The European Commission has revised its economic forecast for Poland, lowering GDP growth projections to 3.3% in 2025 and 3.0% in 2026. Private consumption is expected to remain the main driver, supported by rising real incomes and increased public investment, mainly EU-funded. Inflation is forecasted to fall to 3.6% in 2025 and 2.8% in 2026, thanks to lower energy prices and subdued import costs.
Employment will remain stable in 2025, with a slight increase in 2026. The unemployment rate is projected at 2.8% by 2026. However, public debt is expected to grow significantly, reaching 65.3% of GDP in 2026. Across the EU, economic growth is also slowing due to global trade uncertainty, partly fueled by U.S. tariffs.
(pb.pl)