No country in Europe is currently achieving a birth rate that ensures generational replacement. Unless a spectacular baby boom occurs by the end of the year in Poland – which seems unlikely – the 2024 birth rate, projected at 1.12, could be the lowest in all of Europe and the worst in Poland's modern history.
It is generally accepted that the total fertility rate (TFR) required to ensure a simple generational replacement is between 2.10 and 2.15 (i.e., 210 children per 100 women). No European country today even reaches 2.0. Europe is slowly disappearing before our eyes, and no one knows how to reverse this trend.
According to Eurostat, the fertility rate in the European Union in 2022 was 1.46. There is only one country in Europe that has recorded an increase in births this year, standing out against the declining trend in other nations: Norway, where 5.1 percent more children were born.