Poland’s Finance Ministry expects 2026 VAT revenue to fall PLN 9.5 billion short of the amount assumed in the state budget, Puls Biznesu reported. After eight months, VAT receipts totaled PLN 218.8 billion, only 2% more than a year earlier. In August, when a temporary fuel-tax reduction applied for two weeks, VAT receipts were PLN 26.8 billion versus PLN 26.3 billion in August 2025, an increase of 1.7%.
The ministry attributes PLN 3.4 billion of the shortfall to the Ceny Paliw Niżej fuel program. VAT exemptions on defense purchases under SAFE will reduce receipts by PLN 4.5 billion, while faster refunds linked to KSeF created a one-time PLN 2.7 billion cost. The government is proposing a windfall tax on fuel producers and importers, expected to raise PLN 4 billion, after fuel tax cuts and excise reductions cost PLN 4.7 billion.
Source: pb.pl